Pi Network Faces Volatility: 2025 Year-End Price Outlook

Introduction: A Rocky Road for Pi Network

Pi Network, a mobile-first cryptocurrency launched in 2019, has captured attention with its accessible mining model but is now grappling with significant price volatility. As of May 2025, Pi Coin has plummeted over 75% from its February high near $3, trading at approximately $0.68 after a 4.2% drop in 24 hours and a 14% decline over the past week. With 11.2 million tokens recently unlocked, market pressure has intensified, pushing the project’s market capitalization below $5 billion. This article examines the factors driving Pi’s price struggles, technical indicators, and predictions for its year-end performance in 2025.

Recent Price Struggles and Market Dynamics

Pi Coin’s price has been under strain following a speculative rally tied to the Consensus 2025 event, where expectations of a thriving ecosystem and full mainnet launch failed to materialize. The token crashed from $1.60 to $0.7017 post-event, with an additional 6% drop bringing it to $0.74 by mid-May. The unlocking of 11.2 million tokens has exacerbated selling pressure, while accusations of a 50 million token dump by the Pi Core Team post-Consensus have sparked community distrust. Despite a bullish signal from 86 million PI tokens withdrawn from OKX on May 21, 2025, the price has struggled to stabilize, reflecting broader market skepticism.

Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Dominate

Pi Network’s price charts indicate brewing tension, with the token moving in a tight range and trading volumes steadily declining. Key technical indicators paint a bearish picture:

• Price Levels: Pi is struggling to break past resistance at $0.79, with buyers hesitating at lower levels. A descending wedge pattern has formed since mid-May, trapping the price. Support levels are critical at $0.60 and $0.50.

• Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral at 43.6, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative, and Bollinger Bands are tightening, signaling weak momentum. All key moving averages (10, 20, 50, 100-day EMAs and SMAs) sit above the current price, reinforcing bearish sentiment. Analyst Dr Altcoin predicts a potential drop to $0.40 by August unless the Pi Core Team enhances transparency, while Mr Spock views the dip as temporary, citing community strength.

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Factors Influencing Pi’s 2025 Trajectory

Several factors could shape Pi Network’s price by year-end:

• Exchange Listings: Listings on major exchanges like Binance or Coinbase could boost liquidity and investor confidence. Kraken Pro’s launch of perpetual futures trading for PI on May 23, 2025, with up to 20x leverage, marked a step forward, but broader adoption is needed.

• Mainnet and Ecosystem Development: Currently in a closed mainnet phase, Pi Network’s $100M Ventures Fund aims to drive real-world use cases in fintech, gaming, e-commerce, and AI. A successful mainnet expansion could catalyze growth.

• Transparency Concerns: Allegations of insider token dumps and scam rumors, amplified by a viral post from crypto investigator Atlas, have damaged trust. The Pi Core Team faces pressure to address these concerns to restore investor confidence.

• Market Sentiment: The broader crypto market, with a $3.5 trillion capitalization, is experiencing an altcoin rally, but Pi’s performance hinges on overcoming its specific challenges.

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2025 Year-End Price Predictions

Analysts offer a range of forecasts for Pi Network’s price by the end of 2025, reflecting both optimism and caution:

• Bullish Case: CoinDCX predicts Pi could reclaim $2.00 in November 2025, potentially reaching $2.38–$2.40 by year-end, driven by bullish market sentiment and mainnet developments. Some optimistic projections, like those from ChatGPT cited by Mr Spock, suggest a high of $240 if adoption surges, though this is considered unlikely. Posts on X even speculate a “consensus price” of $314,159, though this appears exaggerated and lacks credibility.

• Moderate Case: CoinCodex forecasts Pi trading between $0.46 and $0.67 through 2027, implying a conservative year-end range of $0.60–$0.80 in 2025. Coinpedia suggests a potential high of $2.44 by early June if momentum holds, but current trends lean toward lower targets.

• Bearish Case: Dr Altcoin warns of a decline to $0.40 or lower by August, with a slow recovery thereafter. Some X posts, like those from

  @HommiesDrey

  , predict a drop to $0.20–$0.30 in 2026, advising investors to wait for a dip. Given the current bearish technicals and transparency issues, a realistic year-end range is likely $0.60–$2.40, with $2.00 as a plausible target if exchange listings and mainnet progress materialize.

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Challenges and Risks

Pi Network faces significant hurdles:

• Scam Allegations: Claims of an $8 billion insider scam, fueled by a 12 million token dump and lack of transparency, have raised red flags. Bybit CEO Ben Zhou’s 2023 scam label adds to the skepticism.

• Market Pressure: The recent token unlock and alleged Core Team sales have intensified selling pressure, risking further price declines.

• Technical Weakness: Failure to break the $0.75–$0.78 resistance could lead to a test of lower supports, potentially dropping to $0.40. These risks underscore the need for the Pi Core Team to deliver on promised utility and transparency to regain market trust.

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Future Outlook: Can Pi Rebound?

Despite its challenges, Pi Network’s accessibility and 60 million-strong user base provide a foundation for recovery. The project’s Protocol v19 upgrade, boosting transaction speeds to 1.19 million per second, signals technical progress. Long-term forecasts remain optimistic, with Dr Altcoin predicting $314 by 2030 and Coinpedia citing potential for $1,000 if adoption and listings accelerate. However, short-term success depends on breaking resistance levels, securing major exchange listings, and addressing community concerns. If these materialize, Pi could rally toward $2.00–$2.40 by year-end; otherwise, it risks lingering below $0.60.

Conclusion

Pi Network’s 2025 journey is marked by volatility, with its price battered by token unlocks, transparency issues, and unmet expectations. While technical indicators signal caution, potential catalysts like exchange listings and mainnet expansion could drive a recovery. With predictions ranging from $0.40 to $2.40 by year-end, investors should monitor key support levels ($0.60) and resistance ($0.78) while awaiting clarity from the Pi Core Team. As the crypto market evolves, Pi’s ability to deliver real-world utility and rebuild trust will determine whether it can reclaim its earlier highs or face further declines.